Statistics / Football / Finland. Ykkönen / Rops vs JJK

Rops vs JJK Statistics & Analysis

Rops Rops
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
6 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 26%
JJK JJK
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Rops Rops ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 6-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13216573

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rops win · Rops 6–1 JJK
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Ykkönen
  • Fixture: Rops vs JJK
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Rops 1.37 — JJK 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.5%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ykkönen Ykkönen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tampere United 26 16 5 5 53
2 Rops 26 13 8 5 47
3 SalPa 26 13 6 7 45
4 VJS 26 11 10 5 43
5 OLS 26 11 8 7 41
6 FC jazz 26 11 6 9 39
7 PKKU 26 10 8 8 38
8 JJK 26 8 7 11 31
9 TPV 26 8 6 12 30
10 Inter Turku II 26 8 5 13 29
11 KPV-j 26 5 3 18 18
12 KuPS Akatemia 26 3 6 17 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tampere United 26 59 26 +33 53
2 Rops 26 58 38 +20 47
3 SalPa 26 56 45 +11 45
4 JJK 26 56 59 -3 31
5 OLS 26 50 38 +12 41
6 VJS 26 46 33 +13 43
7 PKKU 26 45 41 +4 38
8 Inter Turku II 26 45 54 -9 29
9 KuPS Akatemia 26 42 63 -21 15
10 FC jazz 26 39 38 +1 39
11 TPV 26 39 48 -9 30
12 KPV-j 26 27 79 -52 18
Ykkönen Finland. Ykkönen Predictions