Statistics / Football / Brazil. Amazonense - 2 / RB do Norte vs Manicoré

RB do Norte vs Manicoré Statistics & Analysis

RB do Norte RB do Norte
Sep 05, 2026 - 01:30
0(4) 1.27
0(3) 1.33
xG Accuracy: 49%
Manicoré Manicoré
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Manicoré Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 04, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6849530

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · RB do Norte 0–0 Manicoré
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Amazonense - 2
  • Fixture: RB do Norte vs Manicoré
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 01:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): RB do Norte 1.27 — Manicoré 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Amazonense - 2 Amazonense - 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 RB do Norte 6 5 1 0 16
2 Fast Clube-Am 6 4 2 0 14
3 Operário AM 6 4 0 2 12
4 Manicoré 6 3 1 2 10
5 Cliper 6 1 0 5 3
6 Unidos do Alvorada 6 1 0 5 3
7 Peñarol 6 1 0 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Operário AM 6 23 5 +18 12
2 RB do Norte 6 23 6 +17 16
3 Fast Clube-Am 6 16 4 +12 14
4 Manicoré 6 14 11 +3 10
5 Unidos do Alvorada 6 12 27 -15 3
6 Cliper 6 10 23 -13 3
7 Peñarol 6 6 28 -22 3