Statistics / Football / Indonesia. Liga 2 / PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Banda Aceh

PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Banda Aceh Statistics & Analysis

Oct 09, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.18
3 1.42
xG Accuracy: 62%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Persiraja Banda Aceh Persiraja Banda Aceh ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12685490

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Persiraja Banda Aceh win · PSIS Semarang 1–3 Persiraja Banda Aceh
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga 2
  • Fixture: PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Banda Aceh
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): PSIS Semarang 1.18 — Persiraja Banda Aceh 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.7% · Probability edge: +10.1 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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