PSIS Semarang vs Putra Sinar Giri Statistics & Analysis

PSIS Semarang

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.19

0 1.41

xG Accuracy: 64%

Putra Sinar Giri

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Putra Sinar Giri PSIS Semarang ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11228989

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result PSIS Semarang win · PSIS Semarang 1–0 Putra Sinar Giri

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga 2
Fixture: PSIS Semarang vs Putra Sinar Giri
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
xG (showing): PSIS Semarang 1.19 — Putra Sinar Giri 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Putra Sinar Giri
Model: 40.5% · Implied: 12.7% · Probability edge: +27.7 pts · Est. EV: +11.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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