Statistics / Football / Denmark. B-Liga Women / Sundby W vs Osterbro W

Sundby W vs Osterbro W Statistics & Analysis

Sundby W Sundby W
Oct 03, 2026 - 10:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
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Osterbro W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sundby W Sundby W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11220269

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sundby W win · Sundby W 2–0 Osterbro W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: B-Liga Women
  • Fixture: Sundby W vs Osterbro W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Sundby W 1.32 — Osterbro W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
B-Liga Women B-Liga Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 B 93 W 8 6 0 2 18
2 Sundby W 8 5 2 1 17
3 Osterbro W 8 5 1 2 16
4 Naestved W 8 4 1 3 13
5 Thy ThistedQ 7 3 1 3 10
6 Viborg W 8 2 3 3 9
7 AaB 8 1 1 6 4
8 Esbjerg W 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Osterbro W 8 20 10 +10 16
2 Thy ThistedQ 7 20 22 -2 10
3 Sundby W 8 18 10 +8 17
4 B 93 W 8 16 10 +6 18
5 Naestved W 8 14 8 +6 13
6 Viborg W 8 9 10 -1 9
7 Esbjerg W 7 9 20 -11 1
8 AaB 8 9 25 -16 4
B-Liga Women Denmark. B-Liga Women Predictions