AaB vs Thy ThistedQ Statistics & Analysis

AaB

Sep 06, 2026 - 11:00

3 1.32

6 1.28

xG Accuracy: 17%

Thy ThistedQ

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 AaB Thy ThistedQ ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-6 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 01, 2026 · 00:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6459650

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Thy ThistedQ win · AaB 3–6 Thy ThistedQ

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: B-Liga Women
Fixture: AaB vs Thy ThistedQ
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): AaB 1.32 — Thy ThistedQ 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 23, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

B-Liga Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Osterbro W	6	5	0	1	15
2	Sundby W	6	3	2	1	11
3	Thy ThistedQ	5	3	1	1	10
4	B 93 W	5	3	0	2	9
5	Viborg W	6	2	2	2	8
6	Naestved W	6	2	1	3	7
7	AaB	6	1	1	4	4
8	Esbjerg W	6	0	1	5	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Osterbro W	6	19	7	+12	15
2	Thy ThistedQ	5	18	15	+3	10
3	Sundby W	6	14	9	+5	11
4	B 93 W	5	9	7	+2	9
5	Viborg W	6	8	7	+1	8
6	Esbjerg W	6	8	18	-10	1
7	AaB	6	7	19	-12	4
8	Naestved W	6	6	7	-1	7