Statistics / Football / World. World Cup - U20 - Women / Tanzania U20 W vs Canada U20 W

Tanzania U20 W vs Canada U20 W Statistics & Analysis

Sep 11, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.24
6 1.36
xG Accuracy: 20%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Canada U20 W Canada U20 W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-6 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7024149

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Canada U20 W win · Tanzania U20 W 0–6 Canada U20 W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: World Cup - U20 - Women
  • Fixture: Tanzania U20 W vs Canada U20 W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Tanzania U20 W 1.24 — Canada U20 W 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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World Cup - U20 - Women World Cup - U20 - Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Argentina U20 W 3 11 5 +6 6
2 Poland U20 W 3 9 2 +7 9
3 Mexico U20 W 3 5 7 -2 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 3 14 -11 1