Spain U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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World Cup - U20 - Women — Standings

Spain U20 W

Sep 07, 2026 - 16:00

2 1.30

0 1.30

xG Accuracy: 58%

Nigeria U20 W

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Spain U20 W Spain U20 W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 01, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6473104

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spain U20 W win · Spain U20 W 2–0 Nigeria U20 W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: World Cup - U20 - Women
Fixture: Spain U20 W vs Nigeria U20 W
Kickoff: 2026-09-07 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Spain U20 W 1.3 — Nigeria U20 W 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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