Mexico U20 W vs Benin U20 W Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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World Cup - U20 - Women — Standings

Mexico U20 W

Sep 05, 2026 - 16:00

2 1.36

2 1.24

xG Accuracy: 68%

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Benin U20 W

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Mexico U20 W Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 01, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6461773

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Mexico U20 W 2–2 Benin U20 W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: World Cup - U20 - Women
Fixture: Mexico U20 W vs Benin U20 W
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Mexico U20 W 1.36 — Benin U20 W 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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