Statistics / Football / South-Africa. Super League Women / TS Galaxy W vs Pretoria U. W

TS Galaxy W vs Pretoria U. W Statistics & Analysis

Sep 06, 2026 - 09:30
0 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 43%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 TS Galaxy W Pretoria U. W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 01, 2026 · 00:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6458532

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pretoria U. W win · TS Galaxy W 0–3 Pretoria U. W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Super League Women
  • Fixture: TS Galaxy W vs Pretoria U. W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 09:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): TS Galaxy W 1.32 — Pretoria U. W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Super League Women Super League Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Mamelodi Sundowns W 5 5 0 0 15
2 JVW FC W 6 4 2 0 14
3 TS Galaxy W 6 4 1 1 13
4 University of Johannesburg W 6 3 2 1 11
5 Tshwane University W 6 3 2 1 11
6 Pretoria U. W 6 3 1 2 10
7 Ramatlaohle W 6 3 1 2 10
8 UWC Ladies 6 3 1 2 10
9 Copperbelt Ladies W 5 3 0 2 9
10 University of Fort Hare W 6 1 4 1 7
11 Richmond United W 6 2 1 3 7
12 Ezemvelo W 6 2 0 4 6
13 First Touch W 6 1 3 2 6
14 Diepkloof W 6 1 0 5 3
15 Stellenbosch W 6 0 0 6 0
16 City Lads W 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Mamelodi Sundowns W 5 21 0 +21 15
2 JVW FC W 6 18 5 +13 14
3 TS Galaxy W 6 13 6 +7 13
4 Tshwane University W 6 10 6 +4 11
5 University of Johannesburg W 6 9 4 +5 11
6 Pretoria U. W 6 8 7 +1 10
7 Ramatlaohle W 6 8 8 0 10
8 Richmond United W 6 8 13 -5 7
9 Copperbelt Ladies W 5 7 7 0 9
10 University of Fort Hare W 6 5 5 0 7
11 UWC Ladies 6 5 8 -3 10
12 Ezemvelo W 6 5 9 -4 6
13 Diepkloof W 6 5 15 -10 3
14 First Touch W 6 4 8 -4 6
15 Stellenbosch W 6 3 14 -11 0
16 City Lads W 6 0 14 -14 0