First Touch W vs Ezemvelo W Statistics & Analysis

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First Touch W

Sep 04, 2026 - 16:00

1 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 64%

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Ezemvelo W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 First Touch W First Touch W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 01, 2026 · 01:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6467573

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result First Touch W win · First Touch W 1–0 Ezemvelo W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Super League Women
Fixture: First Touch W vs Ezemvelo W
Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): First Touch W 1.32 — Ezemvelo W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Super League Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mamelodi Sundowns W	5	5	0	0	15
2	JVW FC W	6	4	2	0	14
3	TS Galaxy W	6	4	1	1	13
4	University of Johannesburg W	6	3	2	1	11
5	Tshwane University W	6	3	2	1	11
6	Pretoria U. W	6	3	1	2	10
7	Ramatlaohle W	6	3	1	2	10
8	UWC Ladies	6	3	1	2	10
9	Copperbelt Ladies W	5	3	0	2	9
10	University of Fort Hare W	6	1	4	1	7
11	Richmond United W	6	2	1	3	7
12	Ezemvelo W	6	2	0	4	6
13	First Touch W	6	1	3	2	6
14	Diepkloof W	6	1	0	5	3
15	Stellenbosch W	6	0	0	6	0
16	City Lads W	6	0	0	6	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Mamelodi Sundowns W	5	21	0	+21	15
2	JVW FC W	6	18	5	+13	14
3	TS Galaxy W	6	13	6	+7	13
4	Tshwane University W	6	10	6	+4	11
5	University of Johannesburg W	6	9	4	+5	11
6	Pretoria U. W	6	8	7	+1	10
7	Ramatlaohle W	6	8	8	0	10
8	Richmond United W	6	8	13	-5	7
9	Copperbelt Ladies W	5	7	7	0	9
10	University of Fort Hare W	6	5	5	0	7
11	UWC Ladies	6	5	8	-3	10
12	Ezemvelo W	6	5	9	-4	6
13	Diepkloof W	6	5	15	-10	3
14	First Touch W	6	4	8	-4	6
15	Stellenbosch W	6	3	14	-11	0
16	City Lads W	6	0	14	-14	0