Zakynthos vs Ellas Syros Statistics & Analysis

Zakynthos

Sep 19, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.30

4 1.30

xG Accuracy: 44%

Ellas Syros

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Zakynthos Ellas Syros ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 07:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8730484

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ellas Syros win · Zakynthos 1–4 Ellas Syros

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Super League 2
Fixture: Zakynthos vs Ellas Syros
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Zakynthos 1.3 — Ellas Syros 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Super League 2 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Larisa	4	3	1	0	10
2	Panionios	4	3	1	0	10
3	Marko	3	3	0	0	9
4	Ellas Syros	4	2	2	0	8
5	Panthrakikos	3	2	1	0	7
6	Panserraikos	4	2	0	2	6
7	Kallithea	3	2	0	1	6
8	Apollon Pontou	4	1	1	2	4
9	Nestos Chrisoupolis	4	1	1	2	4
10	PAOK II	4	1	1	2	4
11	Olympiakos Piraeus II	4	1	1	2	4
12	Niki Volos	4	1	0	3	3
13	Asteras Tripolis II	3	1	0	2	3
14	Anagennisi Karditsas	4	0	2	2	2
15	Pyrgos 1968	4	0	2	2	2
16	Zakynthos	4	0	1	3	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Ellas Syros	4	9	3	+6	8
2	Larisa	4	7	1	+6	10
3	Marko	3	7	3	+4	9
4	Panserraikos	4	6	4	+2	6
5	Olympiakos Piraeus II	4	6	10	-4	4
6	Kallithea	3	5	4	+1	6
7	Panionios	4	4	0	+4	10
8	Niki Volos	4	4	5	-1	3
9	Panthrakikos	3	3	0	+3	7
10	Apollon Pontou	4	3	4	-1	4
11	Nestos Chrisoupolis	4	3	5	-2	4
12	PAOK II	4	3	5	-2	4
13	Zakynthos	4	2	7	-5	1
14	Asteras Tripolis II	3	1	3	-2	3
15	Anagennisi Karditsas	4	1	5	-4	2
16	Pyrgos 1968	4	0	5	-5	2