Statistics / Football / Bhutan. Premier League / Thimphu City vs Paro

Thimphu City vs Paro Statistics & Analysis

Thimphu City Thimphu City
Oct 08, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.26
2 1.34
xG Accuracy: 59%
Paro Paro
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Paro Paro ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12426315

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Paro win · Thimphu City 0–2 Paro
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Thimphu City vs Paro
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-08 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Thimphu City 1.26 — Paro 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Thimphu City & Paro!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 40
3 Thimphu 18 10 2 6 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 24
7 Bhutan U19 18 5 5 8 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Paro 17 72 12 +60 46
2 Thimphu City 17 49 12 +37 40
3 Drukpa 18 36 29 +7 24
4 RTC 18 29 20 +9 28
5 Bhutan U19 18 29 45 -16 20
6 Transport United 18 28 24 +4 30
7 Thimphu 18 27 22 +5 32
8 Tsirang 18 27 48 -21 16
9 Ugyen Academy 18 15 61 -46 7
10 Tensung 18 14 53 -39 8