Statistics / Football / Bhutan. Premier League / Paro vs Bhutan U19

Paro vs Bhutan U19 Statistics & Analysis

Paro Paro
Oct 03, 2026 - 09:00
6 1.64
0 0.96
xG Accuracy: 23%
Bhutan U19 Bhutan U19
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Paro Paro ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 6-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11219539

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Paro win · Paro 6–0 Bhutan U19
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Paro vs Bhutan U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 51.8% · Draw 27.6% · Away 20.5%
  • xG (showing): Paro 1.64 — Bhutan U19 0.96 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.3% · No 48.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 51.3% · No 48.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.2%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 40
3 Thimphu 18 10 2 6 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 24
7 Bhutan U19 18 5 5 8 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Paro 17 72 12 +60 46
2 Thimphu City 17 49 12 +37 40
3 Drukpa 18 36 29 +7 24
4 RTC 18 29 20 +9 28
5 Bhutan U19 18 29 45 -16 20
6 Transport United 18 28 24 +4 30
7 Thimphu 18 27 22 +5 32
8 Tsirang 18 27 48 -21 16
9 Ugyen Academy 18 15 61 -46 7
10 Tensung 18 14 53 -39 8