RTC vs Tsirang Statistics & Analysis

RTC

Sep 22, 2026 - 09:00

6 1.53

1 1.07

xG Accuracy: 29%

Tsirang

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 RTC RTC ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 6-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 16, 2026 · 02:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8986657

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result RTC win · RTC 6–1 Tsirang

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Premier League
Fixture: RTC vs Tsirang
Kickoff: 2026-09-22 09:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 46.3% · Draw 28.7% · Away 24.9%
xG (showing): RTC 1.53 — Tsirang 1.07 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Paro	16	14	1	1	43
2	Thimphu City	16	11	4	1	37
3	Transport United	16	9	2	5	29
4	Thimphu	16	9	1	6	28
5	RTC	17	7	4	6	25
6	Drukpa	16	5	5	6	20
7	Bhutan U19	16	5	4	7	19
8	Tsirang	17	4	4	9	16
9	Tensung	16	2	2	12	8
10	Ugyen Academy	16	1	1	14	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Paro	16	66	12	+54	43
2	Thimphu City	16	46	12	+34	37
3	Drukpa	16	31	26	+5	20
4	Bhutan U19	16	28	38	-10	19
5	Transport United	16	27	20	+7	29
6	Tsirang	17	26	44	-18	16
7	RTC	17	24	19	+5	25
8	Thimphu	16	22	20	+2	28
9	Tensung	16	12	44	-32	8
10	Ugyen Academy	16	9	56	-47	4