Tensung vs Drukpa Statistics & Analysis

Tensung

Sep 20, 2026 - 09:00

1 1.21

3 1.39

xG Accuracy: 61%

⚽

Drukpa

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Drukpa Drukpa ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8659143

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Drukpa win · Tensung 1–3 Drukpa

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Tensung vs Drukpa
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 09:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
xG (showing): Tensung 1.21 — Drukpa 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Paro	16	14	1	1	43
2	Thimphu City	17	12	4	1	40
3	Thimphu	17	10	1	6	31
4	Transport United	17	9	2	6	29
5	RTC	18	8	4	6	28
6	Drukpa	17	6	5	6	23
7	Bhutan U19	16	5	4	7	19
8	Tsirang	18	4	4	10	16
9	Tensung	18	2	2	14	8
10	Ugyen Academy	18	2	1	15	7

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Paro	16	66	12	+54	43
2	Thimphu City	17	49	12	+37	40
3	Drukpa	17	35	28	+7	23
4	RTC	18	29	20	+9	28
5	Bhutan U19	16	28	38	-10	19
6	Transport United	17	27	23	+4	29
7	Tsirang	18	27	48	-21	16
8	Thimphu	17	26	21	+5	31
9	Ugyen Academy	18	15	61	-46	7
10	Tensung	18	14	53	-39	8