Drukpa vs RTC Statistics & Analysis

⚽

Drukpa

Sep 14, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.16

3 1.44

xG Accuracy: 62%

RTC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 RTC RTC ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 08, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7571347

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result RTC win · Drukpa 1–3 RTC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Drukpa vs RTC
Kickoff: 2026-09-14 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
xG (showing): Drukpa 1.16 — RTC 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Paro	16	14	1	1	43
2	Thimphu City	17	12	4	1	40
3	Thimphu	17	10	1	6	31
4	Transport United	17	9	2	6	29
5	RTC	17	7	4	6	25
6	Drukpa	17	6	5	6	23
7	Bhutan U19	16	5	4	7	19
8	Tsirang	17	4	4	9	16
9	Tensung	17	2	2	13	8
10	Ugyen Academy	17	1	1	15	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Paro	16	66	12	+54	43
2	Thimphu City	17	49	12	+37	40
3	Drukpa	17	35	28	+7	23
4	Bhutan U19	16	28	38	-10	19
5	Transport United	17	27	23	+4	29
6	Thimphu	17	26	21	+5	31
7	Tsirang	17	26	44	-18	16
8	RTC	17	24	19	+5	25
9	Tensung	17	13	48	-35	8
10	Ugyen Academy	17	11	60	-49	4