Statistics / Football / Morocco. Botola Pro / Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir

Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Statistics & Analysis

Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech
Sep 27, 2026 - 20:00
2 1.36
3 1.24
xG Accuracy: 52%
Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kawkab Marrakech Hassania Agadir ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9339615

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hassania Agadir win · Kawkab Marrakech 2–3 Hassania Agadir
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Botola Pro
  • Fixture: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Kawkab Marrakech 1.36 — Hassania Agadir 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.4% · Implied: 43.8% · Probability edge: +10.6 pts · Est. EV: +19.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Botola Pro Botola Pro — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maghreb Fès 3 2 1 0 7
2 UTS Rabat 3 2 1 0 7
3 Hassania Agadir 3 2 0 1 6
4 Ittihad Tanger 2 1 1 0 4
5 Raja Casablanca 2 1 1 0 4
6 CODM Meknès 2 1 0 1 3
7 FAR Rabat 1 1 0 0 3
8 Kawkab Marrakech 2 1 0 1 3
9 Wydad AC 2 1 0 1 3
10 Widad Témara 3 1 0 2 3
11 Amal Tiznit 2 1 0 1 3
12 Moghreb Tetouan 2 0 2 0 2
13 Renaissance Berkane 2 0 2 0 2
14 FUS Rabat 2 0 0 2 0
15 CR Khemis Zemamra 3 0 0 3 0
16 Difaa EL Jadida 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hassania Agadir 3 9 6 +3 6
2 CODM Meknès 2 6 3 +3 3
3 Maghreb Fès 3 4 2 +2 7
4 Ittihad Tanger 2 4 2 +2 4
5 UTS Rabat 3 3 1 +2 7
6 Kawkab Marrakech 2 3 3 0 3
7 Wydad AC 2 3 3 0 3
8 Widad Témara 3 3 3 0 3
9 CR Khemis Zemamra 3 3 8 -5 0
10 Amal Tiznit 2 2 3 -1 3
11 Difaa EL Jadida 2 2 8 -6 0
12 Raja Casablanca 2 1 0 +1 4
13 FAR Rabat 1 1 0 +1 3
14 Moghreb Tetouan 2 1 1 0 2
15 FUS Rabat 2 1 3 -2 0
16 Renaissance Berkane 2 0 0 0 2
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