Statistics / Football / World. UEFA Europa Conference League / Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris

Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris Statistics & Analysis

Brighton Brighton
Oct 15, 2026 - 19:00
4 1.35
0 1.37
xG Accuracy: 33%
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Brighton Brighton ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 09, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14194138

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Brighton win · Brighton 4–0 Kauno Žalgiris
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: UEFA Europa Conference League
  • Fixture: Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-15 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 60.5% · Draw 20.5% · Away 19.0%
  • xG (showing): Brighton 1.35 — Kauno Žalgiris 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.72)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.6%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 48.9% · Over 2.5 51.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 56.8% · No 43.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 56.8% · No 43.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0
2 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0
3 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0
4 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0
5 SC Braga 0 0 0 0 0
6 Brann 0 0 0 0 0
7 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0
8 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0
9 FK Crvena Zvezda 0 0 0 0 0
10 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0
11 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0 0 0 0
12 SC Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0
13 Gent 0 0 0 0 0
14 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0
15 HNK Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0
16 Heart Of Midlothian 0 0 0 0 0
17 Saburtalo 0 0 0 0 0
18 Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0
19 FK Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0
20 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0
21 Kauno Žalgiris 0 0 0 0 0
22 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0
23 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0 0 0 0
24 FC Lugano 0 0 0 0 0
25 FC Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0
26 Mjallby AIF 0 0 0 0 0
27 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0
28 FC Nordsjaelland 0 0 0 0 0
29 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0
30 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0
31 Riga 0 0 0 0 0
32 St. Truiden 0 0 0 0 0
33 FC Thun 0 0 0 0 0
34 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0
35 Twente 0 0 0 0 0
36 Universitatea Craiova 0 0 0 0 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0
2 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0
3 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0
4 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0
5 SC Braga 0 0 0 0 0
6 Brann 0 0 0 0 0
7 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0
8 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0
9 FK Crvena Zvezda 0 0 0 0 0
10 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0
11 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0 0 0 0
12 SC Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0
13 Gent 0 0 0 0 0
14 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0
15 HNK Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0
16 Heart Of Midlothian 0 0 0 0 0
17 Saburtalo 0 0 0 0 0
18 Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0
19 FK Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0
20 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0
21 Kauno Žalgiris 0 0 0 0 0
22 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0
23 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0 0 0 0
24 FC Lugano 0 0 0 0 0
25 FC Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0
26 Mjallby AIF 0 0 0 0 0
27 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0
28 FC Nordsjaelland 0 0 0 0 0
29 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0
30 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0
31 Riga 0 0 0 0 0
32 St. Truiden 0 0 0 0 0
33 FC Thun 0 0 0 0 0
34 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0
35 Twente 0 0 0 0 0
36 Universitatea Craiova 0 0 0 0 0
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Brighton 0 4.0 0.0 +4.0 0
2 Panathinaikos 0 3.8 0.2 +3.6 0
3 Atalanta 0 3.5 0.9 +2.6 0
4 Gent 0 2.2 0.2 +2.0 0
5 Twente 0 2.2 0.2 +2.0 0
6 Brann 0 2.1 0.4 +1.7 0
7 St. Truiden 0 1.7 0.1 +1.6 0
8 Trabzonspor 0 3.5 2.1 +1.4 0
9 Riga 0 2.3 1.1 +1.2 0
10 Heart Of Midlothian 0 1.8 0.6 +1.2 0
11 FC Lugano 0 2.3 1.2 +1.1 0
12 FC Copenhagen 0 1.6 0.6 +1.0 0
13 HNK Hajduk Split 0 2.0 1.1 +0.9 0
14 Mjallby AIF 0 1.4 0.5 +0.9 0
15 Getafe 0 1.4 0.6 +0.8 0
16 FC Midtjylland 0 1.4 0.6 +0.8 0
17 SC Freiburg 0 1.9 1.2 +0.7 0
18 CSKA Sofia 0 1.3 1.3 0.0 0
19 Monaco 0 1.3 1.3 0.0 0
20 FK Jablonec 0 1.2 1.9 -0.7 0
21 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0.6 1.4 -0.8 0
22 Universitatea Craiova 0 0.6 1.4 -0.8 0
23 Ajax 0 1.1 2.0 -0.9 0
24 Inter Club d'Escaldes 0 0.5 1.4 -0.9 0
25 SC Braga 0 0.6 1.6 -1.0 0
26 FK Crvena Zvezda 0 1.2 2.3 -1.1 0
27 Kairat Almaty 0 1.1 2.3 -1.2 0
28 FC Nordsjaelland 0 0.6 1.8 -1.2 0
29 KuPS 0 2.1 3.5 -1.4 0
30 Saburtalo 0 0.1 1.7 -1.6 0
31 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0.4 2.1 -1.7 0
32 Aarhus 0 0.2 2.2 -2.0 0
33 FC Thun 0 0.2 2.2 -2.0 0
34 Pafos 0 0.9 3.5 -2.6 0
35 Borac Banja Luka 0 0.2 3.8 -3.6 0
36 Kauno Žalgiris 0 0.0 4.0 -4.0 0
UEFA Europa Conference League World. UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions