Statistics / Football / Mexico. Primera Premier / Inter Playa del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados

Inter Playa del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados Statistics & Analysis

Inter Playa del Carmen Inter Playa del Carmen
Oct 03, 2026 - 23:00
3 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Deportiva Venados Deportiva Venados
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Inter Playa del Carmen Inter Playa del Carmen ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 04:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11264336

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Inter Playa del Carmen win · Inter Playa del Carmen 3–1 Deportiva Venados
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primera Premier
  • Fixture: Inter Playa del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Inter Playa del Carmen 1.32 — Deportiva Venados 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.9% · Probability edge: +4.9 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Primera Premier Primera Premier — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 15
2 Celaya 5 4 1 0 13
3 Pioneros de Cancún 5 4 0 1 12
4 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 11
5 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 11
6 Zacatepec 1948 6 3 2 1 11
7 Reboceros La Piedad 5 3 1 1 10
8 Los Cabos United 6 3 0 3 9
9 Montañeses 6 2 1 3 7
10 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 5
11 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 5
12 Jaguares de Chiapas 4 1 1 2 4
13 Cordobés 5 1 1 3 4
14 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 4
15 Inter Playa del Carmen 5 1 1 3 4
16 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 3
17 Tritons Vallarta 5 0 2 3 2
18 H2O Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 16 6 +10 11
2 Pioneros de Cancún 5 14 6 +8 12
3 Irapuato 5 13 4 +9 15
4 Celaya 5 11 4 +7 13
5 Reboceros La Piedad 5 10 6 +4 10
6 Montañeses 6 10 12 -2 7
7 Tigres de Alica 6 9 6 +3 11
8 Deportiva Venados 5 9 10 -1 5
9 Zacatepec 1948 6 8 7 +1 11
10 Los Cabos United 6 6 7 -1 9
11 Chapulineros 6 6 12 -6 5
12 Lobos ULMX 5 5 9 -4 4
13 Inter Playa del Carmen 5 5 10 -5 4
14 Tapachula 5 5 14 -9 3
15 Jaguares de Chiapas 4 4 6 -2 4
16 Cordobés 5 4 7 -3 4
17 Tritons Vallarta 5 3 6 -3 2
18 H2O Purepechas 5 1 7 -6 1
Primera Premier Mexico. Primera Premier Predictions