Dong Thap vs Binh Dinh Statistics & Analysis

Dong Thap

Oct 16, 2026 - 10:00

3 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 57%

Binh Dinh

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Binh Dinh Dong Thap ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 10, 2026 · 01:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14523433

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Dong Thap win · Dong Thap 3–1 Binh Dinh

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: V.League 2
Fixture: Dong Thap vs Binh Dinh
Kickoff: 2026-10-16 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Dong Thap 1.29 — Binh Dinh 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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V.League 2 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	2	2	0	0	6
2	Văn Hiến	2	1	1	0	4
3	Hung Yen	1	1	0	0	3
4	Pho Hien	1	1	0	0	3
5	Ho Chi Minh City	2	1	0	1	3
6	Dong Thap	2	1	0	1	3
7	Sanna Khanh Hoa	1	0	1	0	1
8	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	1	0	1	0	1
9	Binh Duong	1	0	1	0	1
10	Binh Dinh	1	0	0	1	0
11	Long An	1	0	0	1	0
12	Lam Dong	1	0	0	1	0
13	Bóng đá Huế	1	0	0	1	0
14	Than Quang Ninh	1	0	0	1	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Thai Nguyen	2	5	1	+4	6
2	Hung Yen	1	3	0	+3	3
3	Pho Hien	1	2	1	+1	3
4	Dong Thap	2	2	3	-1	3
5	Văn Hiến	2	1	0	+1	4
6	Ho Chi Minh City	2	1	1	0	3
7	Sanna Khanh Hoa	1	1	1	0	1
8	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	1	1	1	0	1
9	Binh Dinh	1	1	2	-1	0
10	Long An	1	1	2	-1	0
11	Binh Duong	1	0	0	0	1
12	Lam Dong	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Bóng đá Huế	1	0	2	-2	0
14	Than Quang Ninh	1	0	3	-3	0