Universidad O&M vs Vega Real Statistics & Analysis

Universidad O&M

Oct 03, 2026 - 20:00

0 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 64%

Vega Real

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Universidad O&M Vega Real ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11262069

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Vega Real win · Universidad O&M 0–1 Vega Real

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Mayor
Fixture: Universidad O&M vs Vega Real
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Universidad O&M 1.33 — Vega Real 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga Mayor — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Salcedo	8	6	2	0	20
2	Vega Real	9	5	1	3	16
3	Cibao	8	4	2	2	14
4	Delfines Del Este	8	4	2	2	14
5	Moca	8	3	4	1	11
6	Universidad O&M	9	3	2	4	9
7	Jarabacoa	9	1	1	7	1
8	Atlántico	9	0	2	7	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Salcedo	8	17	4	+13	20
2	Vega Real	9	14	8	+6	16
3	Cibao	8	13	6	+7	14
4	Universidad O&M	9	12	10	+2	9
5	Atlántico	9	8	28	-20	0
6	Delfines Del Este	8	7	4	+3	14
7	Moca	8	7	5	+2	11
8	Jarabacoa	9	5	18	-13	1