Statistics / Football / Dominican-Republic. Liga Mayor / Universidad O&M vs Salcedo

Universidad O&M vs Salcedo Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 20:00
1 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 76%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Salcedo Salcedo ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10111696

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Salcedo win · Universidad O&M 1–2 Salcedo
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga Mayor
  • Fixture: Universidad O&M vs Salcedo
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Universidad O&M 1.29 — Salcedo 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Liga Mayor Liga Mayor — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Salcedo 7 5 2 0 17
2 Cibao 8 4 2 2 14
3 Delfines Del Este 7 4 2 1 14
4 Vega Real 8 4 1 3 13
5 Moca 8 3 4 1 11
6 Universidad O&M 8 3 2 3 9
7 Jarabacoa 8 1 0 7 0
8 Atlántico 8 0 1 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Salcedo 7 16 4 +12 17
2 Cibao 8 13 6 +7 14
3 Vega Real 8 13 8 +5 13
4 Universidad O&M 8 12 9 +3 9
5 Delfines Del Este 7 7 3 +4 14
6 Moca 8 7 5 +2 11
7 Atlántico 8 6 26 -20
8 Jarabacoa 8 3 16 -13 0