Moca vs Delfines Del Este Statistics & Analysis

Moca

Sep 23, 2026 - 22:00

1 1.25

1 1.35

xG Accuracy: 85%

Delfines Del Este

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Delfines Del Este Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 01:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9168802

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Moca 1–1 Delfines Del Este

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga Mayor
Fixture: Moca vs Delfines Del Este
Kickoff: 2026-09-23 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Moca 1.25 — Delfines Del Este 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 46.2% · Probability edge: +8.3 pts · Est. EV: +14.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga Mayor — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Salcedo	6	4	2	0	14
2	Delfines Del Este	7	4	2	1	14
3	Cibao	7	3	2	2	11
4	Moca	7	3	4	0	11
5	Vega Real	7	3	1	3	10
6	Universidad O&M	7	3	2	2	9
7	Jarabacoa	7	1	0	6	0
8	Atlántico	8	0	1	7

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Salcedo	6	14	3	+11	14
2	Vega Real	7	12	8	+4	10
3	Universidad O&M	7	11	7	+4	9
4	Cibao	7	10	6	+4	11
5	Delfines Del Este	7	7	3	+4	14
6	Moca	7	7	4	+3	11
7	Atlántico	8	6	26	-20
8	Jarabacoa	7	3	13	-10	0