Universidad O&M vs Atlántico Statistics & Analysis

Universidad O&M

Sep 23, 2026 - 20:00

3 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 60%

Atlántico

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Universidad O&M Universidad O&M ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 16, 2026 · 02:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8993402

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Universidad O&M win · Universidad O&M 3–1 Atlántico

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga Mayor
Fixture: Universidad O&M vs Atlántico
Kickoff: 2026-09-22 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Universidad O&M 1.36 — Atlántico 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga Mayor — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Salcedo	7	5	2	0	17
2	Cibao	8	4	2	2	14
3	Delfines Del Este	7	4	2	1	14
4	Vega Real	8	4	1	3	13
5	Moca	8	3	4	1	11
6	Universidad O&M	8	3	2	3	9
7	Jarabacoa	8	1	0	7	0
8	Atlántico	8	0	1	7

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Salcedo	7	16	4	+12	17
2	Cibao	8	13	6	+7	14
3	Vega Real	8	13	8	+5	13
4	Universidad O&M	8	12	9	+3	9
5	Delfines Del Este	7	7	3	+4	14
6	Moca	8	7	5	+2	11
7	Atlántico	8	6	26	-20
8	Jarabacoa	8	3	16	-13	0