Salcedo vs Delfines Del Este Statistics & Analysis

Salcedo

Sep 30, 2026 - 20:00

1 1.28

0 1.32

xG Accuracy: 64%

Delfines Del Este

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Delfines Del Este Salcedo ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7460764

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Salcedo win · Salcedo 1–0 Delfines Del Este

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Mayor
Fixture: Salcedo vs Delfines Del Este
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): Salcedo 1.28 — Delfines Del Este 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 50.2% · Probability edge: +4.3 pts · Est. EV: +6.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Mayor — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Salcedo	8	6	2	0	20
2	Vega Real	9	5	1	3	16
3	Cibao	8	4	2	2	14
4	Delfines Del Este	8	4	2	2	14
5	Moca	8	3	4	1	11
6	Universidad O&M	9	3	2	4	9
7	Jarabacoa	9	1	1	7	1
8	Atlántico	9	0	2	7	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Salcedo	8	17	4	+13	20
2	Vega Real	9	14	8	+6	16
3	Cibao	8	13	6	+7	14
4	Universidad O&M	9	12	10	+2	9
5	Atlántico	9	8	28	-20	0
6	Delfines Del Este	8	7	4	+3	14
7	Moca	8	7	5	+2	11
8	Jarabacoa	9	5	18	-13	1