Police XI vs Extension Gunners Statistics & Analysis

Police XI

Oct 11, 2026 - 14:00

0 1.31

0 1.29

xG Accuracy: 49%

Extension Gunners

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Police XI Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13221896

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Police XI 0–0 Extension Gunners

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Police XI vs Extension Gunners
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Police XI 1.31 — Extension Gunners 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Sua Flamingoes	4	2	2	0	8
2	Police XI	3	2	1	0	7
3	Extension Gunners	3	2	0	1	6
4	Enesia	3	1	2	0	5
5	Tonota	3	1	2	0	5
6	Township Rollers	2	1	1	0	4
7	Centre Chiefs	3	1	1	1	4
8	BDF XI	3	1	1	1	4
9	Gaborone United	1	1	0	0	3
10	TAFIC	2	1	0	1	3
11	Nico United	3	1	0	2	3
12	Orapa United	3	0	2	1	2
13	Morupule Wanderers	3	0	2	1	2
14	Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0
15	Prisons XI	3	0	0	3	0
16	Matebele	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Township Rollers	2	4	1	+3	4
2	Police XI	3	3	0	+3	7
3	Sua Flamingoes	4	3	1	+2	8
4	Enesia	3	3	2	+1	5
5	Tonota	3	3	2	+1	5
6	Centre Chiefs	3	3	2	+1	4
7	BDF XI	3	3	4	-1	4
8	Nico United	3	3	4	-1	3
9	Gaborone United	1	2	1	+1	3
10	Extension Gunners	3	2	3	-1	6
11	TAFIC	2	1	1	0	3
12	Orapa United	3	1	2	-1	2
13	Morupule Wanderers	3	1	3	-2	2
14	Prisons XI	3	1	4	-3	0
15	Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0
16	Matebele	3	0	3	-3	0