Statistics / Football / Botswana. Premier League / Township Rollers vs Extension Gunners

Township Rollers vs Extension Gunners Statistics & Analysis

Township Rollers Township Rollers
Sep 20, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.33
0 1.27
xG Accuracy: 45%
Extension Gunners Extension Gunners
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Township Rollers Township Rollers ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8680560

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Township Rollers win · Township Rollers 3–0 Extension Gunners
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Township Rollers vs Extension Gunners
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Township Rollers 1.33 — Extension Gunners 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 8
2 Police XI 3 2 1 0 7
3 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 6
4 Enesia 3 1 2 0 5
5 Tonota 3 1 2 0 5
6 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4
7 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 4
8 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 4
9 Gaborone United 1 1 0 0 3
10 TAFIC 2 1 0 1 3
11 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 2
13 Morupule Wanderers 3 0 2 1 2
14 Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0
15 Prisons XI 3 0 0 3 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Township Rollers 2 4 1 +3 4
2 Police XI 3 3 0 +3 7
3 Sua Flamingoes 4 3 1 +2 8
4 Enesia 3 3 2 +1 5
5 Tonota 3 3 2 +1 5
6 Centre Chiefs 3 3 2 +1 4
7 BDF XI 3 3 4 -1 4
8 Nico United 3 3 4 -1 3
9 Gaborone United 1 2 1 +1 3
10 Extension Gunners 3 2 3 -1 6
11 TAFIC 2 1 1 0 3
12 Orapa United 3 1 2 -1 2
13 Morupule Wanderers 3 1 3 -2 2
14 Prisons XI 3 1 4 -3 0
15 Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0
16 Matebele 3 0 3 -3 0