Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa Statistics & Analysis

Hai Phong

Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00

1 1.40

2 1.20

xG Accuracy: 72%

Thanh Hóa

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Hai Phong Thanh Hóa ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13191371

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Thanh Hóa win · Hai Phong 1–2 Thanh Hóa

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: V.League 1
Fixture: Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
xG (showing): Hai Phong 1.4 — Thanh Hóa 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.4% · Probability edge: +4.4 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

V.League 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Công An Nhân Dân	3	3	0	0	9
2	Phu Dong	3	2	1	0	7
3	Song Lam Nghe An	3	2	1	0	7
4	Thanh Hóa	3	2	0	1	6
5	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	3	2	0	1	6
6	Nam Dinh	3	1	1	1	4
7	Ho Chi Minh City	3	1	1	1	4
8	Da Nang	3	1	0	2	3
9	Viettel	3	1	0	2	3
10	Bắc Ninh	3	1	0	2	3
11	Hai Phong	3	1	0	2	3
12	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	3	1	0	2	3
13	Ha Noi	3	1	0	2	3
14	Bình Phước	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Phu Dong	3	7	3	+4	7
2	Công An Nhân Dân	3	6	0	+6	9
3	Song Lam Nghe An	3	6	2	+4	7
4	Thanh Hóa	3	6	5	+1	6
5	Nam Dinh	3	5	4	+1	4
6	Da Nang	3	5	6	-1	3
7	Hai Phong	3	5	7	-2	3
8	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	3	4	3	+1	6
9	Ho Chi Minh City	3	4	3	+1	4
10	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	3	4	7	-3	3
11	Viettel	3	3	4	-1	3
12	Ha Noi	3	3	7	-4	3
13	Bắc Ninh	3	1	2	-1	3
14	Bình Phước	3	0	6	-6	0