Statistics / Football / Vietnam. V.League 1 / Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Da Nang

Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Da Nang Statistics & Analysis

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Oct 10, 2026 - 10:00
3 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 44%
Da Nang Da Nang
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Da Nang Hoang Anh Gia Lai ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13187249

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hoang Anh Gia Lai win · Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3–0 Da Nang
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: V.League 1
  • Fixture: Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Da Nang
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1.29 — Da Nang 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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V.League 1 V.League 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Công An Nhân Dân 3 3 0 0 9
2 Phu Dong 3 2 1 0 7
3 Song Lam Nghe An 3 2 1 0 7
4 Thanh Hóa 3 2 0 1 6
5 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 3 2 0 1 6
6 Nam Dinh 3 1 1 1 4
7 Ho Chi Minh City 3 1 1 1 4
8 Da Nang 3 1 0 2 3
9 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3
10 Bắc Ninh 3 1 0 2 3
11 Hai Phong 3 1 0 2 3
12 Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3 1 0 2 3
13 Ha Noi 3 1 0 2 3
14 Bình Phước 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Phu Dong 3 7 3 +4 7
2 Công An Nhân Dân 3 6 0 +6 9
3 Song Lam Nghe An 3 6 2 +4 7
4 Thanh Hóa 3 6 5 +1 6
5 Nam Dinh 3 5 4 +1 4
6 Da Nang 3 5 6 -1 3
7 Hai Phong 3 5 7 -2 3
8 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 3 4 3 +1 6
9 Ho Chi Minh City 3 4 3 +1 4
10 Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3 4 7 -3 3
11 Viettel 3 3 4 -1 3
12 Ha Noi 3 3 7 -4 3
13 Bắc Ninh 3 1 2 -1 3
14 Bình Phước 3 0 6 -6 0
V.League 1 Vietnam. V.League 1 Predictions