Viettel vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh Statistics & Analysis

Viettel

Oct 08, 2026 - 12:15

1 1.41

3 1.19

xG Accuracy: 54%

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Viettel Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12426652

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win · Viettel 1–3 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: V.League 1
Fixture: Viettel vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Kickoff: 2026-10-08 12:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Viettel 1.41 — Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

V.League 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	L	PTS
1	Công An Nhân Dân	3	3	0	9
2	Phu Dong	2	2	0	6
3	Song Lam Nghe An	2	2	0	6
4	Da Nang	2	1	1	3
5	Nam Dinh	2	1	1	3
6	Ho Chi Minh City	2	1	1	3
7	Viettel	2	1	1	3
8	Thanh Hóa	2	1	1	3
9	Bắc Ninh	2	1	1	3
10	Hai Phong	2	1	1	3
11	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	2	1	1	3
12	Ha Noi	2	0	2	0
13	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	2	0	2	0
14	Bình Phước	3	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Công An Nhân Dân	3	6	0	+6	9
2	Phu Dong	2	6	2	+4	6
3	Song Lam Nghe An	2	5	1	+4	6
4	Da Nang	2	5	3	+2	3
5	Nam Dinh	2	4	3	+1	3
6	Thanh Hóa	2	4	4	0	3
7	Hai Phong	2	4	5	-1	3
8	Ho Chi Minh City	2	3	2	+1	3
9	Viettel	2	2	1	+1	3
10	Ha Noi	2	2	7	-5	0
11	Bắc Ninh	2	1	1	0	3
12	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	2	1	2	-1	3
13	Hoang Anh Gia Lai	2	1	7	-6	0
14	Bình Phước	3	0	6	-6	0