Sânmartin vs Bihorul Beiuş Statistics & Analysis

Sânmartin

Oct 09, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.39

1 1.21

xG Accuracy: 64%

Bihorul Beiuş

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Sânmartin Bihorul Beiuş ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12685259

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bihorul Beiuş win · Sânmartin 0–1 Bihorul Beiuş

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga III - Serie 8
Fixture: Sânmartin vs Bihorul Beiuş
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Sânmartin 1.39 — Bihorul Beiuş 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga III - Serie 8 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	7	5	1	1	16
2	SCM Zalău	7	4	1	2	13
3	Crişul Sântandrei	7	4	1	2	13
4	Viitorul Cluj	7	3	3	1	12
5	Sănătatea Cluj	7	3	3	1	12
6	Sânmartin	7	3	3	1	12
7	Academica Recea	7	4	0	3	12
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	7	2	2	3	8
9	Bihorul Beiuş	7	2	2	3	8
10	Unirea Dej	7	1	2	4	5
11	Unirea Tășnad	7	0	3	4	3
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	7	0	1	6	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	7	18	6	+12	16
2	Viitorul Cluj	7	16	9	+7	12
3	Sânmartin	7	14	10	+4	12
4	Academica Recea	7	14	14	0	12
5	SCM Zalău	7	12	5	+7	13
6	Sănătatea Cluj	7	12	5	+7	12
7	Crişul Sântandrei	7	12	10	+2	13
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	7	9	8	+1	8
9	Bihorul Beiuş	7	7	9	-2	8
10	Transilvania Sport Academy	7	6	24	-18	1
11	Unirea Dej	7	4	11	-7	5
12	Unirea Tășnad	7	2	15	-13	3