Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 8 / Academica Recea vs Sighetu Marmaţiei

Academica Recea vs Sighetu Marmaţiei Statistics & Analysis

Academica Recea Academica Recea
Oct 02, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.26
0 1.34
xG Accuracy: 64%
Sighetu Marmaţiei Sighetu Marmaţiei
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sighetu Marmaţiei Academica Recea ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10967771

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Academica Recea win · Academica Recea 1–0 Sighetu Marmaţiei
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 8
  • Fixture: Academica Recea vs Sighetu Marmaţiei
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Academica Recea 1.26 — Sighetu Marmaţiei 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Academica Recea & Sighetu Marmaţiei!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Liga III - Serie 8 Liga III - Serie 8 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Minaur Baia Mare 7 5 1 1 16
2 SCM Zalău 7 4 1 2 13
3 Crişul Sântandrei 7 4 1 2 13
4 Viitorul Cluj 7 3 3 1 12
5 Sănătatea Cluj 7 3 3 1 12
6 Sânmartin 7 3 3 1 12
7 Academica Recea 7 4 0 3 12
8 Sighetu Marmaţiei 7 2 2 3 8
9 Bihorul Beiuş 7 2 2 3 8
10 Unirea Dej 7 1 2 4 5
11 Unirea Tășnad 7 0 3 4 3
12 Transilvania Sport Academy 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Minaur Baia Mare 7 18 6 +12 16
2 Viitorul Cluj 7 16 9 +7 12
3 Sânmartin 7 14 10 +4 12
4 Academica Recea 7 14 14 0 12
5 SCM Zalău 7 12 5 +7 13
6 Sănătatea Cluj 7 12 5 +7 12
7 Crişul Sântandrei 7 12 10 +2 13
8 Sighetu Marmaţiei 7 9 8 +1 8
9 Bihorul Beiuş 7 7 9 -2 8
10 Transilvania Sport Academy 7 6 24 -18 1
11 Unirea Dej 7 4 11 -7 5
12 Unirea Tășnad 7 2 15 -13 3
Liga III - Serie 8 Romania. Liga III - Serie 8 Predictions