Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 8 / Crişul Sântandrei vs Bihorul Beiuş

Crişul Sântandrei vs Bihorul Beiuş Statistics & Analysis

Crişul Sântandrei Crişul Sântandrei
Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.42
1 1.18
xG Accuracy: 81%
Bihorul Beiuş Bihorul Beiuş
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Crişul Sântandrei Crişul Sântandrei ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10106387

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Crişul Sântandrei win · Crişul Sântandrei 2–1 Bihorul Beiuş
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 8
  • Fixture: Crişul Sântandrei vs Bihorul Beiuş
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Crişul Sântandrei 1.42 — Bihorul Beiuş 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 8 Liga III - Serie 8 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sânmartin 6 3 3 0 12
2 Minaur Baia Mare 5 4 0 1 12
3 SCM Zalău 5 3 1 1 10
4 Sănătatea Cluj 6 2 3 1 9
5 Viitorul Cluj 5 2 2 1 8
6 Sighetu Marmaţiei 5 2 2 1 8
7 Bihorul Beiuş 5 2 2 1 8
8 Crişul Sântandrei 5 2 1 2 7
9 Academica Recea 5 2 0 3 6
10 Unirea Dej 5 1 0 4 3
11 Unirea Tășnad 5 0 2 3 2
12 Transilvania Sport Academy 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sânmartin 6 14 6 +8 12
2 Minaur Baia Mare 5 12 4 +8 12
3 Academica Recea 5 11 13 -2 6
4 Viitorul Cluj 5 10 5 +5 8
5 SCM Zalău 5 9 3 +6 10
6 Sănătatea Cluj 6 9 4 +5 9
7 Sighetu Marmaţiei 5 9 5 +4 8
8 Crişul Sântandrei 5 8 8 0 7
9 Bihorul Beiuş 5 5 4 +1 8
10 Unirea Dej 5 4 11 -7 3
11 Transilvania Sport Academy 5 4 20 -16 0
12 Unirea Tășnad 5 1 13 -12 2
Liga III - Serie 8 Romania. Liga III - Serie 8 Predictions