Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Dej Statistics & Analysis

Minaur Baia Mare

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00

5 1.43

1 1.17

xG Accuracy: 36%

Unirea Dej

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Minaur Baia Mare Minaur Baia Mare ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8690417

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Minaur Baia Mare win · Minaur Baia Mare 5–1 Unirea Dej

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga III - Serie 8
Fixture: Minaur Baia Mare vs Unirea Dej
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
xG (showing): Minaur Baia Mare 1.43 — Unirea Dej 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Minaur Baia Mare & Unirea Dej!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Liga III - Serie 8 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	6	4	1	1	13
2	SCM Zalău	6	4	1	1	13
3	Sânmartin	6	3	3	0	12
4	Crişul Sântandrei	6	3	1	2	10
5	Viitorul Cluj	6	2	3	1	9
6	Sănătatea Cluj	6	2	3	1	9
7	Academica Recea	6	3	0	3	9
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	6	2	2	2	8
9	Bihorul Beiuş	6	2	2	2	8
10	Unirea Dej	6	1	1	4	4
11	Unirea Tășnad	6	0	2	4	2
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	6	0	1	5	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Minaur Baia Mare	6	14	6	+8	13
2	Sânmartin	6	14	6	+8	12
3	Academica Recea	6	13	14	-1	9
4	Viitorul Cluj	6	12	7	+5	9
5	SCM Zalău	6	11	3	+8	13
6	Crişul Sântandrei	6	10	9	+1	10
7	Sănătatea Cluj	6	9	4	+5	9
8	Sighetu Marmaţiei	6	9	7	+2	8
9	Bihorul Beiuş	6	6	6	0	8
10	Unirea Dej	6	4	11	-7	4
11	Transilvania Sport Academy	6	4	20	-16	1
12	Unirea Tășnad	6	2	15	-13	2