Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 8 / Sânmartin vs Unirea Tășnad

Sânmartin vs Unirea Tășnad Statistics & Analysis

Sânmartin Sânmartin
Sep 11, 2026 - 14:00
5 1.26
0 1.34
xG Accuracy: 25%
Unirea Tășnad Unirea Tășnad
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Unirea Tășnad Sânmartin ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7027256

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sânmartin win · Sânmartin 5–0 Unirea Tășnad
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 8
  • Fixture: Sânmartin vs Unirea Tășnad
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Sânmartin 1.26 — Unirea Tășnad 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 8 Liga III - Serie 8 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Minaur Baia Mare 6 4 1 1 13
2 SCM Zalău 6 4 1 1 13
3 Sânmartin 6 3 3 0 12
4 Crişul Sântandrei 6 3 1 2 10
5 Viitorul Cluj 6 2 3 1 9
6 Sănătatea Cluj 6 2 3 1 9
7 Academica Recea 6 3 0 3 9
8 Sighetu Marmaţiei 6 2 2 2 8
9 Bihorul Beiuş 6 2 2 2 8
10 Unirea Dej 6 1 1 4 4
11 Unirea Tășnad 6 0 2 4 2
12 Transilvania Sport Academy 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Minaur Baia Mare 6 14 6 +8 13
2 Sânmartin 6 14 6 +8 12
3 Academica Recea 6 13 14 -1 9
4 Viitorul Cluj 6 12 7 +5 9
5 SCM Zalău 6 11 3 +8 13
6 Crişul Sântandrei 6 10 9 +1 10
7 Sănătatea Cluj 6 9 4 +5 9
8 Sighetu Marmaţiei 6 9 7 +2 8
9 Bihorul Beiuş 6 6 6 0 8
10 Unirea Dej 6 4 11 -7 4
11 Transilvania Sport Academy 6 4 20 -16 1
12 Unirea Tășnad 6 2 15 -13 2
Liga III - Serie 8 Romania. Liga III - Serie 8 Predictions