CIL Blaj vs Universitatea Alba Iulia Statistics & Analysis

CIL Blaj

Oct 09, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.27

2 1.33

xG Accuracy: 68%

Universitatea Alba Iulia

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Universitatea Alba Iulia Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12684932

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · CIL Blaj 2–2 Universitatea Alba Iulia

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 7
Fixture: CIL Blaj vs Universitatea Alba Iulia
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): CIL Blaj 1.27 — Universitatea Alba Iulia 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga III - Serie 7 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	8	5	2	1	17
2	CIL Blaj	8	5	2	1	17
3	Timişul Şag	8	5	2	1	17
4	Unirea Sântana	8	5	0	3	15
5	Cetate Deva	8	4	3	1	15
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	8	3	3	2	12
7	Viitorul Arad	8	3	3	2	12
8	Progresul Pecica	8	3	1	4	10
9	Metalurgistul Cugir	8	1	3	4	6
10	Universitatea Alba Iulia	8	0	4	4	4
11	Poli Timisoara 2	8	1	1	6	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	8	0	2	6	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	8	23	4	+19	17
2	Cetate Deva	8	20	12	+8	15
3	CIL Blaj	8	19	13	+6	17
4	Unirea Sântana	8	15	6	+9	15
5	Progresul Pecica	8	15	18	-3	10
6	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	8	13	12	+1	12
7	Viitorul Arad	8	12	12	0	12
8	Timişul Şag	8	10	5	+5	17
9	Metalurgistul Cugir	8	10	14	-4	6
10	Poli Timisoara 2	8	9	21	-12	4
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	8	6	15	-9	4
12	Nera Bogodinţi	8	3	23	-20	2