Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 7 / Cetate Deva vs Progresul Pecica

Cetate Deva vs Progresul Pecica Statistics & Analysis

Cetate Deva Cetate Deva
Sep 11, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Progresul Pecica Progresul Pecica
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Cetate Deva Cetate Deva ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7027186

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cetate Deva win · Cetate Deva 3–1 Progresul Pecica
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 7
  • Fixture: Cetate Deva vs Progresul Pecica
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Cetate Deva 1.32 — Progresul Pecica 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 7 Liga III - Serie 7 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 CIL Blaj 2 2 0 0 6
2 Cetate Deva 2 1 1 0 4
3 Progresul Pecica 2 1 1 0 4
4 Timişul Şag 2 1 1 0 4
5 Unirea Sântana 2 1 0 1 3
6 Unirea Alba Iulia 2 1 0 1 3
7 Universitatea Alba Iulia 2 0 2 0 2
8 Viitorul Arad 2 0 2 0 2
9 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 2 0 1 1 1
10 Metalurgistul Cugir 2 0 1 1 1
11 Nera Bogodinţi 2 0 1 1 1
12 Poli Timisoara 2 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cetate Deva 2 5 2 +3 4
2 Progresul Pecica 2 5 2 +3 4
3 CIL Blaj 2 4 1 +3 6
4 Timişul Şag 2 3 1 +2 4
5 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 2 3 5 -2 1
6 Metalurgistul Cugir 2 3 5 -2 1
7 Poli Timisoara 2 2 3 9 -6 0
8 Unirea Sântana 2 2 1 +1 3
9 Unirea Alba Iulia 2 2 2 0 3
10 Universitatea Alba Iulia 2 2 2 0 2
11 Viitorul Arad 2 2 2 0 2
12 Nera Bogodinţi 2 0 2 -2 1
Liga III - Serie 7 Romania. Liga III - Serie 7 Predictions