Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 7 / Timişul Şag vs Cetate Deva

Timişul Şag vs Cetate Deva Statistics & Analysis

Sep 04, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Cetate Deva Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5907582

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Timişul Şag 1–1 Cetate Deva
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 7
  • Fixture: Timişul Şag vs Cetate Deva
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Timişul Şag 1.29 — Cetate Deva 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 7 Liga III - Serie 7Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 CIL Blaj 3 3 0 0 9
2 Cetate Deva 3 2 1 0 7
3 Timişul Şag 3 2 1 0 7
4 Viitorul Arad 3 1 2 0 5
5 Progresul Pecica 3 1 1 1 4
6 Unirea Alba Iulia 3 1 1 1 4
7 Unirea Sântana 3 1 0 2 3
8 Poli Timisoara 2 3 1 0 2 3
9 Universitatea Alba Iulia 3 0 2 1 2
10 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 3 0 2 1 2
11 Metalurgistul Cugir 3 0 1 2 1
12 Nera Bogodinţi 3 0 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cetate Deva 3 8 3 +5 7
2 CIL Blaj 3 6 2 +4 9
3 Progresul Pecica 3 6 5 +1 4
4 Poli Timisoara 2 3 6 11 -5 3
5 Timişul Şag 3 4 1 +3 7
6 Universitatea Alba Iulia 3 4 5 -1 2
7 Viitorul Arad 3 3 2 +1 5
8 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 3 3 5 -2 2
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 3 3 6 -3 1
10 Unirea Alba Iulia 3 2 2 0 4
11 Unirea Sântana 3 2 2 0 3
12 Nera Bogodinţi 3 1 4 -3 1