Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 7 / CIL Blaj vs Unirea Alba Iulia

CIL Blaj vs Unirea Alba Iulia Statistics & Analysis

CIL Blaj CIL Blaj
Sep 05, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.04
1 1.56
xG Accuracy: 66%
Unirea Alba Iulia Unirea Alba Iulia
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Unirea Alba Iulia CIL Blaj ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5907361

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result CIL Blaj win · CIL Blaj 2–1 Unirea Alba Iulia
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 7
  • Fixture: CIL Blaj vs Unirea Alba Iulia
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 23.7% · Draw 28.5% · Away 47.8%
  • xG (showing): CIL Blaj 1.04 — Unirea Alba Iulia 1.56 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 7 Liga III - Serie 7 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 CIL Blaj 6 5 1 0 16
2 Timişul Şag 6 4 1 1 13
3 Unirea Sântana 6 4 0 2 12
4 Unirea Alba Iulia 6 3 2 1 11
5 Cetate Deva 6 2 3 1 9
6 Viitorul Arad 6 2 3 1 9
7 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 6 2 3 1 9
8 Progresul Pecica 6 2 1 3 7
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 6 1 2 3 5
10 Universitatea Alba Iulia 6 0 3 3 3
11 Poli Timisoara 2 6 1 0 5 3
12 Nera Bogodinţi 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Unirea Alba Iulia 6 17 4 +13 11
2 CIL Blaj 6 16 9 +7 16
3 Unirea Sântana 6 13 4 +9 12
4 Cetate Deva 6 13 11 +2 9
5 Progresul Pecica 6 13 12 +1 7
6 Metalurgistul Cugir 6 9 11 -2 5
7 Timişul Şag 6 8 4 +4 13
8 Viitorul Arad 6 8 7 +1 9
9 Poli Timisoara 2 6 8 18 -10 3
10 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 6 7 7 0 9
11 Universitatea Alba Iulia 6 4 12 -8 3
12 Nera Bogodinţi 6 2 19 -17 1
Liga III - Serie 7 Romania. Liga III - Serie 7 Predictions