Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 6 / Păușești vs CS U Craiova II

Păușești vs CS U Craiova II Statistics & Analysis

Păușești Păușești
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
CS U Craiova II CS U Craiova II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 CS U Craiova II Păușești ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11228617

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Păușești win · Păușești 1–0 CS U Craiova II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 6
  • Fixture: Păușești vs CS U Craiova II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Păușești 1.29 — CS U Craiova II 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 6 Liga III - Serie 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 7 5 1 1 16
2 Minerul Lupeni 7 5 0 2 15
3 CSM Targu Jiu 7 4 2 1 14
4 CS U Craiova II 7 3 3 1 12
5 Jiul Petroşani 7 3 2 2 11
6 Filiaşi 7 3 2 2 11
7 Unirea Bascov 7 2 3 2 9
8 Păușești 7 1 5 1 8
9 Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 7 2 2 3 8
10 Academica Balș 7 2 0 5 6
11 Oltul Curtişoara 7 2 0 5 6
12 Petrolul Hartiesti 7 0 0 7 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 7 15 5 +10 16
2 CSM Targu Jiu 7 15 7 +8 14
3 CS U Craiova II 7 13 8 +5 12
4 Filiaşi 7 13 13 0 11
5 Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 7 13 14 -1 8
6 Unirea Bascov 7 12 9 +3 9
7 Jiul Petroşani 7 11 8 +3 11
8 Academica Balș 7 10 12 -2 6
9 Minerul Lupeni 7 9 3 +6 15
10 Oltul Curtişoara 7 8 15 -7 6
11 Păușești 7 7 7 0 8
12 Petrolul Hartiesti 7 3 28 -25 0
Liga III - Serie 6 Romania. Liga III - Serie 6 Predictions