Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 6 / Păușești vs Oltul Curtişoara

Păușești vs Oltul Curtişoara Statistics & Analysis

Păușești Păușești
Sep 22, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
Oltul Curtişoara Oltul Curtişoara
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Oltul Curtişoara Oltul Curtişoara ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 16, 2026 · 02:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8988001

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Oltul Curtişoara win · Păușești 0–1 Oltul Curtişoara
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 6
  • Fixture: Păușești vs Oltul Curtişoara
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-22 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Păușești 1.29 — Oltul Curtişoara 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 6 Liga III - Serie 6 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 6 4 1 1 13
2 CS U Craiova II 6 3 3 0 12
3 Minerul Lupeni 6 4 0 2 12
4 Filiaşi 6 3 2 1 11
5 CSM Targu Jiu 6 3 2 1 11
6 Jiul Petroşani 6 3 1 2 10
7 Unirea Bascov 6 2 2 2 8
8 Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 6 2 2 2 8
9 Oltul Curtişoara 6 2 0 4 6
10 Păușești 6 0 5 1 5
11 Academica Balș 6 1 0 5 3
12 Petrolul Hartiesti 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 CS U Craiova II 6 13 7 +6 12
2 Filiaşi 6 13 10 +3 11
3 CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin 6 12 5 +7 13
4 Unirea Bascov 6 11 8 +3 8
5 Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 6 11 11 0 8
6 Jiul Petroşani 6 10 7 +3 10
7 CSM Targu Jiu 6 9 6 +3 11
8 Oltul Curtişoara 6 8 13 -5 6
9 Minerul Lupeni 6 7 3 +4 12
10 Academica Balș 6 7 10 -3 3
11 Păușești 6 6 7 -1 5
12 Petrolul Hartiesti 6 2 22 -20 0
Liga III - Serie 6 Romania. Liga III - Serie 6 Predictions