Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 4 / Sporting Lieşti vs FC Oţelul II

Sporting Lieşti vs FC Oţelul II Statistics & Analysis

Sporting Lieşti Sporting Lieşti
Sep 26, 2026 - 14:00
6 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 26%
FC Oţelul II FC Oţelul II
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sporting Lieşti Sporting Lieşti ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 6-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10105722

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sporting Lieşti win · Sporting Lieşti 6–1 FC Oţelul II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 4
  • Fixture: Sporting Lieşti vs FC Oţelul II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Sporting Lieşti 1.32 — FC Oţelul II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Sporting Lieşti & FC Oţelul II!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Liga III - Serie 4 Liga III - Serie 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Agricola Borcea 6 5 0 1 15
2 Înainte Modelu 6 4 1 1 13
3 Agigea 6 4 1 1 13
4 Sporting Lieşti 6 4 0 2 12
5 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 6 4 0 2 12
6 Axiopolis 6 3 1 2 10
7 Progresul Fundulea 6 3 0 3 9
8 Dunarea Calarasi 6 3 0 3 9
9 Unirea Braniştea 6 2 0 4 6
10 Gloria Băneasa 6 1 1 4 4
11 Portul Constanta 6 1 0 5 3
12 FC Oţelul II 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sporting Lieşti 6 21 11 +10 12
2 Înainte Modelu 6 15 10 +5 13
3 Agricola Borcea 6 14 6 +8 15
4 Progresul Fundulea 6 14 11 +3 9
5 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 6 12 11 +1 12
6 Axiopolis 6 12 11 +1 10
7 Unirea Braniştea 6 12 12 0 6
8 Agigea 6 11 6 +5 13
9 Portul Constanta 6 10 16 -6 3
10 Dunarea Calarasi 6 7 10 -3 9
11 Gloria Băneasa 6 4 13 -9 4
12 FC Oţelul II 6 4 19 -15 0
Liga III - Serie 4 Romania. Liga III - Serie 4 Predictions