Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 4 / FC Oţelul II vs Axiopolis

FC Oţelul II vs Axiopolis Statistics & Analysis

FC Oţelul II FC Oţelul II
Sep 11, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Axiopolis Axiopolis
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC Oţelul II Axiopolis ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7026963

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Axiopolis win · FC Oţelul II 0–2 Axiopolis
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 4
  • Fixture: FC Oţelul II vs Axiopolis
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): FC Oţelul II 1.32 — Axiopolis 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 4 Liga III - Serie 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Agricola Borcea 6 5 0 1 15
2 Înainte Modelu 6 4 1 1 13
3 Agigea 6 4 1 1 13
4 Sporting Lieşti 6 4 0 2 12
5 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 6 4 0 2 12
6 Axiopolis 6 3 1 2 10
7 Progresul Fundulea 6 3 0 3 9
8 Dunarea Calarasi 6 3 0 3 9
9 Unirea Braniştea 6 2 0 4 6
10 Gloria Băneasa 6 1 1 4 4
11 Portul Constanta 6 1 0 5 3
12 FC Oţelul II 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sporting Lieşti 6 21 11 +10 12
2 Înainte Modelu 6 15 10 +5 13
3 Agricola Borcea 6 14 6 +8 15
4 Progresul Fundulea 6 14 11 +3 9
5 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 6 12 11 +1 12
6 Axiopolis 6 12 11 +1 10
7 Unirea Braniştea 6 12 12 0 6
8 Agigea 6 11 6 +5 13
9 Portul Constanta 6 10 16 -6 3
10 Dunarea Calarasi 6 7 10 -3 9
11 Gloria Băneasa 6 4 13 -9 4
12 FC Oţelul II 6 4 19 -15 0
Liga III - Serie 4 Romania. Liga III - Serie 4 Predictions