Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 3 / Urban Titu vs Blejoi

Urban Titu vs Blejoi Statistics & Analysis

Urban Titu Urban Titu
Oct 02, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 85%
Blejoi Blejoi
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Urban Titu Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10966588

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Urban Titu 1–1 Blejoi
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 3
  • Fixture: Urban Titu vs Blejoi
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Urban Titu 1.32 — Blejoi 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 3 Liga III - Serie 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Flacăra Moreni 7 6 1 0 19
2 Berca 6 4 1 1 13
3 Tunari 6 4 1 1 13
4 Blejoi 7 3 2 2 11
5 Plopeni 6 3 0 3 9
6 Progresul Draganesti 6 2 2 2 8
7 Voința Crevedia 6 2 1 3 7
8 Viitorul Corbeanca 6 1 3 2 6
9 Urban Titu 7 1 3 3 6
10 Pucioasa 6 1 2 3 5
11 Râmnicu Sărat 7 1 2 4 5
12 Păuleşti 6 0 2 4 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Flacăra Moreni 7 24 5 +19 19
2 Blejoi 7 16 9 +7 11
3 Berca 6 14 10 +4 13
4 Tunari 6 12 9 +3 13
5 Voința Crevedia 6 12 10 +2 7
6 Progresul Draganesti 6 8 10 -2 8
7 Urban Titu 7 8 14 -6 6
8 Pucioasa 6 6 6 0 5
9 Plopeni 6 6 10 -4 9
10 Râmnicu Sărat 7 6 17 -11 5
11 Viitorul Corbeanca 6 2 5 -3 6
12 Păuleşti 6 2 11 -9 2
Liga III - Serie 3 Romania. Liga III - Serie 3 Predictions