Plopeni vs Pucioasa Statistics & Analysis

Plopeni

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 49%

Pucioasa

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Plopeni Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11228307

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Plopeni 0–0 Pucioasa

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 3
Fixture: Plopeni vs Pucioasa
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Plopeni 1.32 — Pucioasa 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga III - Serie 3 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	7	6	1	0	19
2	Tunari	7	5	1	1	16
3	Berca	7	4	1	2	13
4	Blejoi	7	3	2	2	11
5	Progresul Draganesti	7	3	2	2	11
6	Voința Crevedia	7	3	1	3	10
7	Plopeni	7	3	1	3	10
8	Pucioasa	7	1	3	3	6
9	Viitorul Corbeanca	7	1	3	3	6
10	Urban Titu	7	1	3	3	6
11	Râmnicu Sărat	7	1	2	4	5
12	Păuleşti	7	0	2	5	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Flacăra Moreni	7	24	5	+19	19
2	Berca	7	18	15	+3	13
3	Voința Crevedia	7	17	14	+3	10
4	Blejoi	7	16	9	+7	11
5	Tunari	7	14	9	+5	16
6	Progresul Draganesti	7	11	12	-1	11
7	Urban Titu	7	8	14	-6	6
8	Pucioasa	7	6	6	0	6
9	Plopeni	7	6	10	-4	10
10	Râmnicu Sărat	7	6	17	-11	5
11	Păuleşti	7	4	14	-10	2
12	Viitorul Corbeanca	7	2	7	-5	6