Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 2 / Săcele vs ACS Mediaş 2022

Săcele vs ACS Mediaş 2022 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
3 1.32
4 1.28
xG Accuracy: 30%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Săcele ACS Mediaş 2022 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11228219

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result ACS Mediaş 2022 win · Săcele 3–4 ACS Mediaş 2022
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 2
  • Fixture: Săcele vs ACS Mediaş 2022
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Săcele 1.32 — ACS Mediaş 2022 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 2 Liga III - Serie 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Corona Braşov 8 6 2 0 20
2 ACS Mediaş 2022 8 5 2 1 17
3 Baicoi 8 4 4 0 16
4 Olimpic Zărneşti 8 5 1 2 16
5 Inter Sibiu 8 5 0 3 15
6 Sepsi II 8 5 0 3 15
7 Teleajenul 8 4 1 3 13
8 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 8 2 4 2 10
9 Săcele 8 3 0 5 9
10 Tricolorul Breaza 8 1 1 6 4
11 Carpati Covasna 8 0 1 7 1
12 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 8 0 0 8 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Corona Braşov 8 22 3 +19 20
2 ACS Mediaş 2022 8 20 11 +9 17
3 Inter Sibiu 8 19 8 +11 15
4 Teleajenul 8 18 14 +4 13
5 Sepsi II 8 17 15 +2 15
6 Olimpic Zărneşti 8 17 17 0 16
7 Baicoi 8 16 6 +10 16
8 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 8 16 13 +3 10
9 Săcele 8 10 17 -7 9
10 Tricolorul Breaza 8 10 21 -11 4
11 Carpati Covasna 8 5 28 -23 1
12 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 8 3 20 -17 0