Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 2 / Săcele vs Teleajenul

Săcele vs Teleajenul Statistics & Analysis

Săcele Săcele
Sep 23, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.32
4 1.28
xG Accuracy: 30%
Teleajenul Teleajenul
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Săcele Teleajenul ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9163572

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Teleajenul win · Săcele 3–4 Teleajenul
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 2
  • Fixture: Săcele vs Teleajenul
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-23 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Săcele 1.32 — Teleajenul 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 2 Liga III - Serie 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Corona Braşov 6 4 2 0 14
2 Teleajenul 6 4 1 1 13
3 Inter Sibiu 6 4 0 2 12
4 Baicoi 6 3 3 0 12
5 Sepsi II 6 4 0 2 12
6 Olimpic Zărneşti 6 4 0 2 12
7 ACS Mediaş 2022 6 3 2 1 11
8 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 6 1 4 1 7
9 Săcele 6 2 0 4 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 6 0 1 5 1
11 Carpati Covasna 6 0 1 5 1
12 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Corona Braşov 6 18 3 +15 14
2 Inter Sibiu 6 17 5 +12 12
3 Teleajenul 6 16 9 +7 13
4 Baicoi 6 13 5 +8 12
5 Sepsi II 6 13 10 +3 12
6 ACS Mediaş 2022 6 12 7 +5 11
7 Olimpic Zărneşti 6 12 15 -3 12
8 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 6 11 11 0 7
9 Săcele 6 6 13 -7 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 6 5 16 -11 1
11 Carpati Covasna 6 5 22 -17 1
12 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 6 2 14 -12 0
Liga III - Serie 2 Romania. Liga III - Serie 2 Predictions