Baicoi vs Inter Sibiu Statistics & Analysis

Baicoi

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 64%

Inter Sibiu

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Baicoi Baicoi ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8689653

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Baicoi win · Baicoi 1–0 Inter Sibiu

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga III - Serie 2
Fixture: Baicoi vs Inter Sibiu
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Baicoi 1.32 — Inter Sibiu 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga III - Serie 2 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Sepsi II	5	4	0	1	12
2	Olimpic Zărneşti	5	4	0	1	12
3	Corona Braşov	5	3	2	0	11
4	Teleajenul	5	3	1	1	10
5	Inter Sibiu	5	3	0	2	9
6	Baicoi	5	2	3	0	9
7	ACS Mediaş 2022	5	2	2	1	8
8	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	5	1	3	1	6
9	Săcele	5	2	0	3	6
10	Tricolorul Breaza	5	0	1	4	1
11	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	5	0	0	5	0
12	Carpati Covasna	5	0	0	5	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	5	14	3	+11	11
2	Sepsi II	5	13	6	+7	12
3	Teleajenul	5	13	9	+4	10
4	Inter Sibiu	5	10	3	+7	9
5	ACS Mediaş 2022	5	10	6	+4	8
6	Olimpic Zărneşti	5	10	8	+2	12
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	5	10	10	0	6
8	Baicoi	5	9	5	+4	9
9	Săcele	5	6	9	-3	6
10	Tricolorul Breaza	5	4	14	-10	1
11	Carpati Covasna	5	4	21	-17	0
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	5	2	11	-9	0