Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga III - Serie 1 / Bradul Putna vs Viitorul Curiţa

Bradul Putna vs Viitorul Curiţa Statistics & Analysis

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Bradul Putna
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.27
1 1.33
xG Accuracy: 75%
Viitorul Curiţa Viitorul Curiţa
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Viitorul Curiţa Bradul Putna ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11228098

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bradul Putna win · Bradul Putna 2–1 Viitorul Curiţa
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 1
  • Fixture: Bradul Putna vs Viitorul Curiţa
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Bradul Putna 1.27 — Viitorul Curiţa 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 1 Liga III - Serie 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 CSM FC Vaslui 7 6 1 0 19
2 USV Iaşi 7 5 1 1 16
3 CSM Adjud 7 4 2 1 14
4 Aerostar Bacau 7 4 0 3 12
5 Târgu Secuiesc 7 3 2 2 11
6 FC Bacău II 7 3 2 2 11
7 Bradul Putna 7 3 1 3 10
8 Odorheiu Secuiesc 7 2 4 1 10
9 Gheorgheni 7 2 1 4 7
10 Viitorul Curiţa 7 1 1 5 4
11 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 7 0 2 5 2
12 Paşcani 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bradul Putna 7 18 13 +5 10
2 CSM FC Vaslui 7 17 7 +10 19
3 Târgu Secuiesc 7 16 13 +3 11
4 CSM Adjud 7 15 7 +8 14
5 Aerostar Bacau 7 13 8 +5 12
6 USV Iaşi 7 10 5 +5 16
7 Gheorgheni 7 10 12 -2 7
8 Viitorul Curiţa 7 10 12 -2 4
9 FC Bacău II 7 9 13 -4 11
10 Odorheiu Secuiesc 7 8 7 +1 10
11 Paşcani 7 7 22 -15 1
12 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 7 2 16 -14 2
Liga III - Serie 1 Romania. Liga III - Serie 1 Predictions